EIA expects 5 GW of utility-scale PV to be added in 2019
Post date: 17/01/2019 - 20:28
According to the latest data of the US Energy Information Administration EIA, part of the US Department of Energy, renewable generation provided 17 percent of total electricity generation in 2018 in the USA. The agency expects the share of generation from renewable sources to increase in 2019 to 18 percent and to 20 percent in 2020. Within the renewables category, hydropower was 7 percent of total generation in 2018 and EIA forecasts that it will be about that share in 2019 and in 2020. The share of total generation for renewables other than hydropower, which was 10 percent in 2018, is forecast to rise to 11 percent in 2019 and to 13 percent in 2020.
EIA forecasts almost 5 GW of utility-scale solar PV capacity will be added in 2019 and 6 GW will be added in 2020. Also, EIA expects nearly 9 GW of small-scale solar PV capacity to be installed during 2019 to 2020, mostly in the residential sector.
Domestic PV markets are still adjusting from several factors. Tariffs on PV modules imported into the United States started at 30 percent in January 2018 and are expected to decline 5 percentage points annually as they phase out over four years and expire completely after 2021.
The share of U.S. electricity generation supplied by natural gas-fired power plants has increased significantly during the past decade, rising from 24 percent of total generation in 2010 to an estimated 35 percent in 2018. This increase in the share of generation has been offset by reduced generation from coal-fired power plants. Coal supplied 45 percent of U.S. generation in 2010, compared with an estimated 28 percent in 2018. Much of this change in the mix of generation is a result of sustained low prices for natural gas, which have made that fuel competitive with coal, says EIA.